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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  7A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2002

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN 
STRENGTH...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIEGO DE AVILA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN 
ISLANDS...HOWEVER...THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED SOON.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY
ISLANDS...ELEUTHERA...NEW PROVIDENCE...CAT ISLAND...THE
EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...210 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
CIENFUEGOS CUBA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE 
NEARING THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA EARLY WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO IMPORTANT CHANGES IN STRENGTH ARE ANTICIPATED BEFORE THE 
CENTER CROSSES OVER CUBA.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL ON THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER 
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...20.5 N... 81.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT..

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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