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TROPICAL STORM LILI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  35A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT MON SEP 30 2002

...LILI VERY CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CUBA.  A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIUDAD
DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  THE 
HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING LATER 
THIS MORNING.
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR VERY NEAR CAYMAN
BRAC AND ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  10 MPH
...16 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THIS 
TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD BE PASSING NEAR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TODAY 
AND APPROACHING THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA 
LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LILI IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA AND ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY 
SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  THESE 
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...19.7 N... 79.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH/FRANKLIN
 
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