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TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU OCT 03 2002

...LILI CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...
 
AT 2 PM CDT...1900 UTC...THE COASTAL WARNINGS WERE DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST...VERY NEAR
ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

STORM SURGE LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TONIGHT. 

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION 
WITH LILI.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS FLOODING.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN LOUISIANA AND 
MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...31.3 N... 92.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

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