[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 25 2002

...LILI MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL 
CARIBBEAN SEA...
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ALL OF JAMAICA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI FROM PUNTA PALENQUE WESTWARD
TO TIBURON ON THE WESTERN TIP OF THE TIBURON PENINSULA OF
HAITI...AND ALSO FOR JAMAICA.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN HAITI MAY BE UPGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER TONIGHT.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 
LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.6 WEST
OR ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTH OF SANTO DOMINGO.
 
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...BUT 
THE GENERAL MOTION SHOULD BE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...14.4 N... 69.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster