HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT TUE SEP 24 2002

...ISIDORE OVER OPEN WATERS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO VERACRUZ.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER THIS MORNING.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MERIDA...MEXICO AND DATA FROM A 
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT CENTER OF ISIDORE IS ALREADY 
ON THE COAST.
  
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 21.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.8 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...NORTH 
NORTHWEST OF MERIDA MEXICO.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME 
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ISIDORE  
COULD REACH HURRICANE STATUS ONCE AGAIN.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER...BUT MAINLY OVER WATER.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 987 
MB...29.15 INCHES.

VERY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...OTHER 
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL 
AMERICA.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE 
LIKELY.  

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE
WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ.  TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST...AND THIS
COMBINED WITH LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY ISIDORE MAY CAUSE SOME
COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION.
 
REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...21.8 N... 89.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN