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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT MON SEP 23 2002

...ISIDORE STALLED OVER YUCATAN...BUT EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK INTO THE 
GULF OF MEXICO SOON...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO VERACRUZ.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.4 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES...80 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MERIDA MEXICO.
 
ISIDORE HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.
HOWEVER...THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
LATER TONIGHT.  THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER BACK OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO EARLY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE CENTER REMAINS OVER
LAND.  HOWEVER...ISIDORE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN WHEN THE
CENTER REACHES THE GULF OF MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

VERY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...OTHER 
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA
AND BELIZE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE 
LIKELY.  

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES CONTINUES IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 
WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN PENINSULA.  ONSHORE WINDS WILL 
PRODUCE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ELSEWHERE 
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ.
TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST...AND THIS COMBINED WITH LARGE SWELLS
GENERATED BY ISIDORE MAY CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH
EROSION.

REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...20.3 N... 89.4 W.  
MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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