[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2002
 
...ISIDORE CONTINUES TOWARD CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA
FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE
LA HABANA...LA HABANA AND PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SANCTI-SPIRITUS AND
CIEGO DE AVILA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE LOWER
FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY.
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST OR ABOUT
120 MILES...195 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR.
A WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...ISIDORE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ISIDORE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.  AN 
AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN THE CENTER OF 
ISIDORE SHORTLY TO SEE IF IT HAS BECOME A HURRICANE. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
 
EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...UP T0 20 TO 30 INCHES...CAN BE 
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE 
DAYS.  RAINS SHOULD DIMINISH OVER JAMAICA LATER TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...20.3 N... 81.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster