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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2002
 
...ISIDORE CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD WESTERN CUBA... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA FOR
THE PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA...LA HABANA AND PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SANCTI-SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE
AVILA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES...165 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.  THIS POSITION IS 
ALSO NEAR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON
THIS TRACK...ISIDORE WILL BE APPROACHING THE SOUTH COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA LATER TODAY. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 60 MPH...  95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ISIDORE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
HURRICANE BEFORE IT REACHES THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA.  AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WILL BE CHECKING THE INTENSITY OF ISIDORE
SHORTLY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT 12
HOURS...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.  HEAVY RAINS SHOULD ALSO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF 
CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA TODAY...AND OUTER RAINBANDS COULD AFFECT 
THE FLORIDA KEYS LATE TODAY. 
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...19.9 N... 79.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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