[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON SEP 23 2002

...ISIDORE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER LAND...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO CAMPECHE.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE
WESTWARD TO VERACRUZ.
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.8 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS 
OVER LAND ABOUT 40 MILES...60 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MERIDA MEXICO.
 
ISIDORE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH...7 
KM/HR.   A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK OVER WATER 
LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  75 MPH...120 
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ISODORE COULD FALL BELOW HURRICANE 
STRENGTH THIS MORNING WHILE STILL OVER LAND.  AFTER ISIDORE MOVES 
BACK OVER WATER...STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE 
AIRCRAFT IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.
 
VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE AFFECTING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND OTHER 
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE 
LIKELY.  

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES CONTINUES IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 
WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN PENINSULA.  ONSHORE WINDS WILL 
PRODUCE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ELSEWHERE 
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ. 
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...20.4 N... 89.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 954 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN

Webmaster