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HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN SEP 22 2002

...ISIDORE INLAND OVER NORTHWEST YUCATAN...AND WEAKENING...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
CARIBBEAN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CAMPECHE NORTH AND
EASTWARD TO TULUM...INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.5 WEST 
OR ABOUT 15 MILES...30 KM...SOUTHEAST OF MERIDA MEXICO.
 
ISIDORE HAS BEEN DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD NEAR  5 MPH
... 7 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS 
EXPECTED...BRINGING THE CENTER BACK OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO ON 
MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHILE THE 
CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND...BUT ISIDORE IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO 
RE-STRENGTHEN WHEN IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
 
VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE AFFECTING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND OTHER 
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE 
LIKELY.  

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES ARE LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 
WINDS OVER NORTHWEST YUCATAN.  

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...20.8 N... 89.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...MONDAY.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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