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HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN SEP 22 2002

...EYEWALL OF POWERFUL HURRICANE ISIDORE BATTERING THE YUCATAN 
COAST...MOVING TOWARD PROGRESO MEXICO...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
CARIBBEAN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CAMPECHE NORTH AND
EASTWARD TO TULUM...INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.2 WEST OR ABOUT
35 MILES...55 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO.
 
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS 
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. 
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE SHOULD TRACK ALONG THE 
NORTHWEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A HAM RADIO REPORT INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH 
WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH NEAR MERIDA DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
  
SOME HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND 
THE ISLE OF YOUTH AS STRONG SQUALLS MOVE ACROSS THIS AREA.  VERY 
HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO AFFECTING THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN 
PENINSULA AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE LIKELY.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN 
PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS 
ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES.  HAM RADIO REPORTS INDICATE SOME COASTAL 
FLOODING AND DAMAGE TO HOMES HAVE OCCURRED NEAR MERIDA AND CHELEM ON 
THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN COAST.
 
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...21.5 N... 89.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 934 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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