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HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
 
...EYE OF ISIDORE ENTERING THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...WINDS 
AND RAINS WILL CONTINUE OVER WESTERN CUBA...    
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CUBA PROVINCES
OF MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA AND PINAR DEL
RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
PROGRESSO TO TULUM ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE ISLAND
OF COZUMEL.
 
SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF ISIDORE 
IS EMERGING OFF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA AND ENTERING THE SOUTHEAST 
GULF OF MEXICO. 
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 40 
MILES...65 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CABO SAN ANTONIO ON THE WESTERN 
TIP OF CUBA.

ISIDORE HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE PAST FEW 
HOURS BUT IT SHOULD RESUME A TRACK BETWEEN THE NORTHWEST AND 
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  AN AIR FORCE PLANE WILL CHECK THE INTENSITY IN A FEW
HOURS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
ISIDORE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 145 MILES...230 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  964 MB...28.47 INCHES.

ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF ISIDORE IS BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM 
CUBA...EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...UP T0 20 TO 30 
INCHES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE 
OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF WESTERN CUBA BUT SHOULD  
GRADUALLY DIMINISH.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...22.4 N... 84.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...SATURDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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