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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2002
 
...ISIDORE NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA
FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE
LA HABANA...LA HABANA AND PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SANCTI-SPIRITUS AND
CIEGO DE AVILA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE LOWER
FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST OR ABOUT
160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

ISIDORE IS MOVING ERRATICALLY...BUT GENERALLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR.  A WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST
MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...ISIDORE
WILL BE VERY NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ISIDORE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.  
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...UP T0 20 TO 30 INCHES...CAN BE 
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE 
DAYS.  RAINS SHOULD DIMINISH OVER JAMAICA LATER TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...20.0 N... 81.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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