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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2002
 
...ISIDORE GATHERING STRENGTH IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN
CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA AND CIENFUEGOS
WESTWARD...AND INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR
CUBA WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING THIS
EVENING.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.8 WEST OR ABOUT
165 MILES ...270 KM...EAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

THE CENTER OF ISIDORE HAS REFORMED NORTH OF ITS PREVIOUS POSITION.
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  EVEN
THOUGH THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM JAMAICA THIS
EVENING...CONDITIONS THERE WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE SINCE MOST OF
THE HEAVY RAINS AND WINDS ARE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY...AND ISIDORE IS EXPECTED 
TO BE CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT 
WAS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.  HEAVY RAINS ARE NOW MOVING INTO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...19.0 N... 78.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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