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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2002
 
...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY...BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST OR ABOUT
130 MILES...205 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH
... 9 KM/HR...AND A MOTION TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS 
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...  55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  MOST OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH THE DEPRESSION
ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...AND GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL SPREAD OVER JAMAICA TONIGHT.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT 
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER JAMAICA OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...16.3 N... 77.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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