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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2002

...GUSTAV BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE OUTER BANKS BUT STILL 
WINDY...
  
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BOGUE INLET TO
PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS...AND INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW
POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.8 WEST OR ABOUT
60 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
 
RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT GUSTAV IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST 
AT 12 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A 
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD BE 
GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM THE U. S. COAST.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV
COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY. A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS 
SCHEDULED TO BE IN THE AREA TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE 
CENTER. CAPE HATTERAS REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 78 MPH A COUPLE OF 
HOURS AGO. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT.  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  984 MB...29.06 INCHES.  

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS 
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTH END OF PAMLICO SOUND.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE IN THE 
WARNING AREA.  THIS FLOODING SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT.  HIGH
SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE U.S. EAST
COAST FROM NEW YORK SOUTHWARD TO THE NORTHERN FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...35.7 N... 74.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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