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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT MON SEP 09 2002

...POORLY ORGANIZED GUSTAV CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWARD TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH
LIGHT NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT GUSTAV CONTINUES TO HAVE THE CHARACTERISTICS OF A SUBTROPICAL
STORM...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER. 
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.4 WEST OR ABOUT
230 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
 
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION
COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM MAINLY TO
THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTER IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

OBSERVATIONS FROM TIDE GAUGES IN THE SOUTH END OF THE PAMLICO SOUND
INDICATE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF ABOUT 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1-3 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE IN THE WARNING
AREA.  HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
U.S. EAST COAST FROM NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
COAST TODAY.

OUTER RAINBANDS OF GUSTAV WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH 
AND SOUTH CAROLINA TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...32.1 N... 74.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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