[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2002
 
...GUSTAV TURNS NORTH...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...AND INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE
BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT VIRGINIA.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM
GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE  75.5 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH 
CAROLINA.
 
THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  9 MPH.  GUSTAV IS 
EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE NORTHEAST LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS 
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTH END OF PAMLICO SOUND.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 
1-3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE IN THE 
WARNING AREA.  HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED 
ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL 
FLORIDA COAST TODAY.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OVER EASTERN
VIRGINIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY. 
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...33.5 N... 75.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster