[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT SEP 07 2002
 
...FAY WEAKENS AS IT MOVES INLAND...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED ALONG THE TEXAS
COAST.  COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70  
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH AND 
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD  
SPEED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  35 MPH WITH HIGHER 
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES 
EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE SLOW-MOVING DEPRESSION...POSSIBLY 
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES.  IN ADDITION 2 TO 4 INCHES 
ARE LIKELY UNDER AN OUTER RAINBAND ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF 
MEXICO COAST INCLUDING PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND 
MISSISSIPPI.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES FROM NEAR THE DEPRESSION 
CENTER AND EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING FROM STRONG ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE 
NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY AND 
TONIGHT.  

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...29.2 N... 97.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS 
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPAT(X) AND WMO HEADER WTNT3(X) KWNH...BEGINNING AT 
3 PM CDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
NNNN

Webmaster