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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT FRI SEP 06 2002
 
...FAY STRENGTHENS...ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PORT OCONNOR
TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...AS 
WELL AS SURFACE REPORTS AND RADAR IMAGERY...INDICATE THAT FAY IS 
BEGINNING TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED.

AT 10 AM CDT...THE STILL ILL-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0
WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH.  BECAUSE THE CENTER OF FAY
IS SO POORLY DEFINED...CHANGES IN THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER DO
NOT NECESSARILY REPRESENT THE TRUE MOTION OF THE OVERALL WEATHER
SYSTEM.  A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS 
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...MAINLY 
TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 
1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN ASSOCIATION WITH FAY OF 4 TO 8 
INCHES ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY NORTH OF THE CENTER...WITH SOME LOCALLY 
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES.

TIDE GAUGE OBSERVATIONS FROM PORT ISABEL TO SABINE PASS TEXAS SHOW 
THAT STORM SURGE IS NOW 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL.  
THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO REACH 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...27.9 N... 95.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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