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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT MON AUG 05 2002

...BERTHA MOVING OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COASTS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WEST AND
SOUTH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE
AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.8 WEST OR ABOUT 
35 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.
 
BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE BROAD CENTER OF BERTHA WILL BE PASSING NEAR NEW 
ORLEANS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN 
LOUISIANA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SLOW
WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN LATER THIS MORNING AS BERTHA MOVES OVER LAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES...MAINLY 
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
 
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND 
POSSIBLE INLAND FRESH WATER FLOODING.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WITH LESSER AMOUNTS 
FARTHER EAST OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. 
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM ALABAMA EASTWARD TO THE 
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. CONSULT YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
FORECAST OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA 
AND ALONG THE ALABAMA COAST.
 
REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...29.6 N... 89.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
  
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