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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
630 PM CDT SUN AUG 04 2002

...TROPICAL STORM BERTHA DEVELOPS OFF THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND MISSISSIPPI GULF COASTS...
 
AT 630 PM CDT...2330Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COASTS FROM PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI WEST AND SOUTH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
 
AT 630 PM CDT...2330Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.0 WEST OR ABOUT 
65 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT MISSISSIPPI. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 
75 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.
 
BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH...10 KM/HR...AND 
THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE 
WEST-NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE BROAD CENTER OF BERTHA 
IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OVER OR JUST NORTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA AND 
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN MONDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF 
BERTHA MAKES LANDFALL MONDAY MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES
... 95 KM...MAINLY NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND 
POSSIBLE INLAND FRESH WATER FLOODING.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TO 4 TO 8 
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WITH LESSER AMOUNTS 
FARTHER EAST OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. 
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM ALABAMA EASTWARD TO THE 
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. CONSULT YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 
FORECAST OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.
 
REPEATING THE 630 PM CDT POSITION...29.4 N... 89.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 10 PM CDT. 
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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