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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2002

...ARTHUR RAPIDLY BECOMING A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM SOUTH OF NEWFOUNDLAND...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.0 WEST OR ABOUT
215 MILES...350 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 32 MPH
...52 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AFTER
THAT.  ON THIS TRACK...THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF ARTHUR IS 
EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEAST TIP OF NEWFOUNDLAND 
LATER TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS EVEN THOUGH ARTHUR IS QUICKLY TRANSITIONING OVER TO
AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES
...370 KM...MAINLY NORTH THROUGH EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 997 MB...29.44 
INCHES...BASED ON NEARBY BUOY REPORTS.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...THE CANADIAN
WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED STORM AND GALE WARNINGS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...43.6 N... 54.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 32 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.
 
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE 
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION CENTER 
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC...AND 
ALSO IN STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN WEATHER SERVICE UNDER WMO 
HEADER WTCN31 CWHX.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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