[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN JUL 14 2002

...THE FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON FORMS
OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE 
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.8 WEST 
OR ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH
...32 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION AND
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE THE NORTH 
CAROLINA COAST AND PRIMARILY BE A THREAT TO MARINE INTERESTS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SOME 
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THIS SYSTEM 
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT OR MONDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...34.7 N... 75.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster