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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT OCT 19 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.7N  77.0W      25  7  X  X 32   MYAK 241N 776W    35  2  X  X 37
27.5N  74.5W       X 18  X  X 18   MYNN 251N 775W    26  5  X  X 31
MWCG 193N 814W    50  X  X  X 50   MYGF 266N 787W    11  7  X  X 18
MUGM 200N 751W     1  1  X  X  2   MARATHON FL       10  X  X  X 10
MUCM 214N 779W    31  X  X  X 31   MIAMI FL          11  1  X  X 12
MUCF 221N 805W    72  X  X  X 72   W PALM BEACH FL    6  1  X  X  7
MYMM 224N 730W     X  5  X  X  5   FT PIERCE FL       2  1  X  X  3
MYSM 241N 745W     2 18  X  X 20   KEY WEST FL        3  X  X  X  3
MYEG 235N 758W    15 11  X  X 26
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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