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HURRICANE LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED OCT 02 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SAT OCT  5 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.8N  92.3W      40  X  X  X 40   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
32.2N  91.9W       8 21  4  X 33   PENSACOLA FL       X  2  4  X  6
36.1N  89.0W       X  X 20  5 25   MOBILE AL          X  7  7  X 14
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4   GULFPORT MS        3 11  5  X 19
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5   BURAS LA          13  6  1  X 20
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  6  6   NEW ORLEANS LA    17  7  1  X 25
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  7  7   NEW IBERIA LA     36  1  X  X 37
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  5  5   PORT ARTHUR TX    29  2  X  X 31
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  5  5   GALVESTON TX      17  2  X  X 19
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4   FREEPORT TX        7  2  X  X  9
HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  4  4   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  2  X  3
BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 89W      11  3  X  X 14
PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 91W      60  X  X  X 60
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W      43  X  X  X 43
EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 95W       6  1  X  X  7
ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
C FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
D FROM  1PM FRI TO  1PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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