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HURRICANE LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE OCT 01 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT FRI OCT  4 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.3N  88.2W      43  1  X  X 44   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X 12  6 18
26.0N  90.5W       3 27  X  X 30   GALVESTON TX       X  X 13  5 18
28.1N  92.2W       X 10 13  X 23   FREEPORT TX        X  X 12  5 17
MUSN 216N 826W    99  X  X  X 99   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  9  5 14
MUHA 230N 824W    45  X  X  X 45   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  5  5 10
MUAN 219N 850W    76  X  X  X 76   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  2  3  5
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  2  3
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  4  3  8
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  3  4   GULF 28N 89W       X 11  7  1 19
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  2  6  8   GULF 28N 91W       X 13 10  1 24
MOBILE AL          X  X  3  7 10   GULF 28N 93W       X  8 14  1 23
GULFPORT MS        X  X  6  7 13   GULF 28N 95W       X  2 13  2 17
BURAS LA           X  2 10  4 16   GULF 27N 96W       X  1  9  2 12
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  1 10  5 16   GULF 25N 96W       X  1  2  2  5
NEW IBERIA LA      X  1 13  4 18
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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