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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 27 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT MON SEP 30 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.7N 76.1W 49 X X X 49 MYAK 241N 776W X 7 7 3 17
20.6N 77.5W 26 7 X 1 34 MYNN 251N 775W X 2 6 4 12
21.3N 79.0W 3 20 2 1 26 MYGF 266N 787W X X 3 6 9
MTPP 186N 724W 2 X X 1 3 MARATHON FL X X 9 7 16
MTCA 183N 738W 55 X X X 55 MIAMI FL X X 5 8 13
MKJP 179N 768W 32 1 X X 33 W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 8 10
MKJS 185N 779W 15 3 1 1 20 FT PIERCE FL X X 1 7 8
MWCG 193N 814W X 1 7 6 14 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 6 6
MUGM 200N 751W 40 X X X 40 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
MUCM 214N 779W 12 17 1 X 30 KEY WEST FL X X 7 9 16
MUCF 221N 805W X 7 12 3 22 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 3 9 12
MUSN 216N 826W X X 7 9 16 FT MYERS FL X X 1 9 10
MUHA 230N 824W X X 8 8 16 VENICE FL X X 1 8 9
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 9 9 TAMPA FL X X X 6 6
MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 3 3 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 4 4
MYMM 224N 730W X 1 X 1 2 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
MYSM 241N 745W X 1 1 2 4 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2
MYEG 235N 758W X 8 3 2 13 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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