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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 27 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT MON SEP 30 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.9N  76.9W      55  X  X  X 55   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  4  7 11
18.8N  77.9W      37  3  1  X 41   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  6  7
19.5N  78.9W       9 23  X  1 33   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  5  5
MTCA 183N 738W    14  X  1  X 15   MARATHON FL        X  X  2 12 14
MKJP 179N 768W    56  X  X  X 56   MIAMI FL           X  X  1  9 10
MKJS 185N 779W    40  2  X  X 42   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  7  7
MWCG 193N 814W     X  6 10  5 21   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  5  5
MUGM 200N 751W    10  3  X  1 14   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     1 16  4  2 23   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  2 14  6 22   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1 13 14
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  7 10 17   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  9  9
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  4 12 16   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  8  8   VENICE FL          X  X  X  6  6
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  4  4
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  2  4  6   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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