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TROPICAL STORM LILI PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 24 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI SEP 27 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.2N  70.7W      47  X  X  X 47   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  5  5
16.6N  72.8W       7 28  X  X 35   MDPP 198N 707W     X  5  6  3 14
18.2N  73.8W       X 21  6  1 28   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  6  6 12
SKPG 125N 717W     2  X  X  1  3   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  4 11 15
MDSD 185N 697W     3  8  2  1 14   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X 13 13
MDCB 176N 714W     8 22  1  X 31   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1 14 15
MTPP 186N 724W     X 21  4  1 26   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X 11 11
MTCA 183N 738W     X 20  7  1 28   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  9  9
MKJP 179N 768W     X  1 11  4 16   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  4  4
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  5  8 13   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  2  2   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     X  1 16  5 22   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1 13 14   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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