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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 86
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT MON OCT 14 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
38.0N 72.0W 21 4 X X 25 BOSTON MA 1 10 1 X 12
39.0N 67.5W X 14 2 1 17 PORTLAND ME X 6 2 1 9
40.0N 63.0W X 1 9 3 13 BAR HARBOR ME X 3 4 2 9
BERMUDA X X 2 3 5 EASTPORT ME X 1 5 2 8
CHARLESTON SC 99 X X X 99 ST JOHN NB X 1 5 2 8
MYRTLE BEACH SC 99 X X X 99 MONCTON NB X X 4 3 7
WILMINGTON NC 99 X X X 99 YARMOUTH NS X 2 7 2 11
MOREHEAD CITY NC 65 X X X 65 HALIFAX NS X X 6 3 9
CAPE HATTERAS NC 49 X X X 49 SABLE ISLAND NS X X 3 6 9
NORFOLK VA 33 X 1 X 34 SYDNEY NS X X 2 6 8
OCEAN CITY MD 23 X 1 X 24 EDDY POINT NS X X 3 5 8
ATLANTIC CITY NJ 14 2 X 1 17 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X 1 5 6
NEW YORK CITY NY 9 5 X X 14 BURGEO NFLD X X X 6 6
MONTAUK POINT NY 6 9 1 X 16 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 6 6
PROVIDENCE RI 3 10 1 X 14 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 5 5
NANTUCKET MA 2 13 1 X 16 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 2 2
HYANNIS MA 2 12 1 X 15
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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