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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  85
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT MON OCT 14 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
38.0N  72.0W      21  4  X  X 25   BOSTON MA          1 10  1  X 12
39.0N  67.5W       X 14  2  1 17   PORTLAND ME        X  6  2  1  9
40.0N  63.0W       X  1  9  3 13   BAR HARBOR ME      X  3  4  2  9
BERMUDA            X  X  2  3  5   EASTPORT ME        X  1  5  2  8
CHARLESTON SC     99  X  X  X 99   ST JOHN NB         X  1  5  2  8
MYRTLE BEACH SC   99  X  X  X 99   MONCTON NB         X  X  4  3  7
WILMINGTON NC     99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS        X  2  7  2 11
MOREHEAD CITY NC  65  X  X  X 65   HALIFAX NS         X  X  6  3  9
CAPE HATTERAS NC  49  X  X  X 49   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  3  6  9
NORFOLK VA        33  X  1  X 34   SYDNEY NS          X  X  2  6  8
OCEAN CITY MD     23  X  1  X 24   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  3  5  8
ATLANTIC CITY NJ  14  2  X  1 17   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  1  5  6
NEW YORK CITY NY   9  5  X  X 14   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  6  6
MONTAUK POINT NY   6  9  1  X 16   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  6  6
PROVIDENCE RI      3 10  1  X 14   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  5  5
NANTUCKET MA       2 13  1  X 16   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  2  2
HYANNIS MA         2 12  1  X 15
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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