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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  83
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON OCT 14 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
35.0N  78.0W      26  8  X  X 34   NORFOLK VA         1 22  X  X 23
37.2N  74.0W       X 17  3  X 20   OCEAN CITY MD      X 13  4  X 17
38.5N  70.5W       X  1 11  X 12   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  5  8  X 13
JACKSONVILLE FL   99  X  X  X 99   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  1  9  X 10
SAVANNAH GA       99  X  X  X 99   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  8  X  8
CHARLESTON SC     66  X  X  X 66   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  5  X  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC   49  X  X  X 49   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  5  X  5
WILMINGTON NC     34  4  X  X 38   HYANNIS MA         X  X  4  X  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC  16 16  X  X 32   BOSTON MA          X  X  3  X  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   3 24  X  X 27
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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