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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  81
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU OCT 10 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.3N  80.8W      31  1  X  X 32   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  1 10  5 16
34.0N  79.2W       2 18  2  1 23   NORFOLK VA         X  X  5  9 14
35.3N  77.0W       X  3 12  3 18   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1 10 11
BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  8  8
FT PIERCE FL      53  X  X  X 53   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  6  6
COCOA BEACH FL    88  X  X  X 88   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  4  4
DAYTONA BEACH FL  99  X  X  X 99   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3
JACKSONVILLE FL   52  X  X  X 52   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA       34  X  X  X 34   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC     18  9  1  X 28   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    3 18  1  1 23   CEDAR KEY FL       4  X  X  X  4
WILMINGTON NC      X 12  7  1 20   ST MARKS FL        4  X  X  X  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  4 12  2 18
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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