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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 80
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU OCT 10 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.3N 81.2W 47 X X X 47 OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 9 10
31.8N 81.1W 24 4 X X 28 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 8 8
33.5N 80.0W 1 15 3 2 21 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5
W PALM BEACH FL 3 X X X 3 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 3 3
FT PIERCE FL 32 X X X 32 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X X 50 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL 53 X X X 53 HYANNIS MA X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL 40 X 1 X 41 TAMPA FL 9 X X 1 10
SAVANNAH GA 18 7 1 X 26 CEDAR KEY FL 17 X X 1 18
CHARLESTON SC 5 14 2 1 22 ST MARKS FL 8 5 1 X 14
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 12 6 1 19 APALACHICOLA FL 2 4 1 1 8
WILMINGTON NC X 6 9 3 18 PANAMA CITY FL 1 4 1 X 6
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 2 9 4 15 PENSACOLA FL X 1 1 1 3
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 7 7 14 GULF 29N 85W 1 2 1 1 5
NORFOLK VA X X 4 9 13
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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