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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  80
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU OCT 10 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.3N  81.2W      47  X  X  X 47   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  9 10
31.8N  81.1W      24  4  X  X 28   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  8  8
33.5N  80.0W       1 15  3  2 21   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
W PALM BEACH FL    3  X  X  X  3   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3
FT PIERCE FL      32  X  X  X 32   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
COCOA BEACH FL    50  X  X  X 50   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL  53  X  X  X 53   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL   40  X  1  X 41   TAMPA FL           9  X  X  1 10
SAVANNAH GA       18  7  1  X 26   CEDAR KEY FL      17  X  X  1 18
CHARLESTON SC      5 14  2  1 22   ST MARKS FL        8  5  1  X 14
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X 12  6  1 19   APALACHICOLA FL    2  4  1  1  8
WILMINGTON NC      X  6  9  3 18   PANAMA CITY FL     1  4  1  X  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  2  9  4 15   PENSACOLA FL       X  1  1  1  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  7  7 14   GULF 29N 85W       1  2  1  1  5
NORFOLK VA         X  X  4  9 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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