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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  79
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU OCT 10 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.1N  80.5W      45  X  X  X 45   NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  9 10
30.3N  81.1W      27  2  1  X 30   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  7  7
31.8N  80.9W       8 13  2  1 24   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
MYGF 266N 787W    14  X  X  X 14   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           2  X  X  X  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    1  2  X  X  3
W PALM BEACH FL   14  X  X  X 14   FT MYERS FL        4  2  1  X  7
FT PIERCE FL      29  X  X  X 29   VENICE FL          5  3  1  X  9
COCOA BEACH FL    37  1  X  X 38   TAMPA FL          12  3  1  X 16
DAYTONA BEACH FL  36  X  X  X 36   CEDAR KEY FL       9  7  1  X 17
JACKSONVILLE FL   18  6  1  1 26   ST MARKS FL        1  7  3  2 13
SAVANNAH GA        4 14  3  1 22   APALACHICOLA FL    X  3  4  2  9
CHARLESTON SC      1 13  4  2 20   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  4  2  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  7  7  4 18   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  3  4
WILMINGTON NC      X  2  8  6 16   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  1  5  7 13   GULF 29N 85W       X  3  3  2  8
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  3  7 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  2  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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