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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  78
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED OCT 09 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.6N  79.5W      44  X  X  X 44   NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  8  9
29.4N  80.9W      22  4  1  X 27   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5
31.0N  81.0W       8 12  2  1 23   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W    19  X  1  X 20   MARCO ISLAND FL    1  4  1  X  6
MIAMI FL           3  2  1  X  6   FT MYERS FL        2  7  1  X 10
W PALM BEACH FL   13  1  1  X 15   VENICE FL          2  8  1  X 11
FT PIERCE FL      22  1  X  X 23   TAMPA FL           3 11  1  1 16
COCOA BEACH FL    25  1  1  X 27   CEDAR KEY FL       1 12  3  1 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL  20  5  1  X 26   ST MARKS FL        X  5  6  3 14
JACKSONVILLE FL    5 14  2  1 22   APALACHICOLA FL    X  2  5  3 10
SAVANNAH GA        1 11  6  3 21   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  3  4  8
CHARLESTON SC      1  8  7  4 20   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  3  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  4  8  6 18   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  1  7  7 15   GULF 29N 85W       X  2  5  2  9
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  4  8 12   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  2  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  9 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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