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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 76
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED OCT 09 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.7N 77.9W 45 X X X 45 KEY WEST FL X 1 2 2 5
28.0N 79.9W 15 16 X X 31 MARCO ISLAND FL X 7 4 2 13
28.8N 81.3W 1 19 3 1 24 FT MYERS FL X 9 5 2 16
MYNN 251N 775W 3 2 1 X 6 VENICE FL X 7 7 3 17
MYGF 266N 787W 20 5 X X 25 TAMPA FL X 9 8 2 19
MARATHON FL X 2 2 2 6 CEDAR KEY FL X 5 10 4 19
MIAMI FL 1 10 2 1 14 ST MARKS FL X X 8 8 16
W PALM BEACH FL 4 16 1 1 22 APALACHICOLA FL X X 5 10 15
FT PIERCE FL 6 19 1 X 26 PANAMA CITY FL X X 3 10 13
COCOA BEACH FL 4 22 1 X 27 PENSACOLA FL X X X 9 9
DAYTONA BEACH FL 1 19 3 2 25 MOBILE AL X X X 7 7
JACKSONVILLE FL X 9 8 4 21 GULFPORT MS X X X 5 5
SAVANNAH GA X 2 8 7 17 BURAS LA X X X 4 4
CHARLESTON SC X 1 6 8 15 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 3 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 4 7 11 GULF 29N 85W X X 6 9 15
WILMINGTON NC X X 1 7 8 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 9 10
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 89W X X X 5 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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