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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 74
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE OCT 08 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.8N 76.0W 43 X X X 43 WILMINGTON NC X X 1 6 7
27.5N 78.0W 10 17 1 X 28 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 5 5
27.5N 80.0W X 14 7 2 23 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL X X 4 6 10
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 2 2 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 9 6 16
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 4 5 FT MYERS FL X 1 10 6 17
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 2 2 VENICE FL X X 9 8 17
MYAK 241N 776W X 2 3 1 6 TAMPA FL X 1 9 7 17
MYNN 251N 775W X 8 3 1 12 CEDAR KEY FL X X 7 9 16
MYGF 266N 787W 1 17 3 1 22 ST MARKS FL X X 2 10 12
MARATHON FL X X 7 4 11 APALACHICOLA FL X X 1 10 11
MIAMI FL X 4 10 3 17 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 9 9
W PALM BEACH FL X 9 9 2 20 PENSACOLA FL X X X 5 5
FT PIERCE FL X 11 9 2 22 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
COCOA BEACH FL X 10 10 2 22 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 5 11 5 21 BURAS LA X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL X 1 9 7 17 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 11 12
SAVANNAH GA X X 5 8 13 GULF 29N 87W X X X 7 7
CHARLESTON SC X X 4 8 12 GULF 28N 89W X X X 3 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 2 7 9
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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