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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 72
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE OCT 08 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST FRI OCT 11 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.3N 72.4W 53 X X X 53 FT PIERCE FL X X 2 7 9
28.6N 73.5W 33 2 X X 35 COCOA BEACH FL X X 2 7 9
28.1N 74.8W 9 13 2 1 25 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 6 7
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 2 2 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 6 6
MUGM 200N 751W X X X 3 3 SAVANNAH GA X X X 6 6
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 5 5 CHARLESTON SC X X 1 6 7
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 3 3 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 6 7
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 WILMINGTON NC X X 1 5 6
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 2 2 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 5 6
MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 5 6 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 3 4
MYSM 241N 745W X 1 6 4 11 NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2
MYEG 235N 758W X X 4 6 10 KEY WEST FL X X X 4 4
MYAK 241N 776W X X 3 7 10 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 5 5
MYNN 251N 775W X X 6 6 12 FT MYERS FL X X X 5 5
MYGF 266N 787W X X 5 7 12 VENICE FL X X X 4 4
MARATHON FL X X X 5 5 TAMPA FL X X X 4 4
MIAMI FL X X 1 7 8 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 4 4
W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 7 9 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
C FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
D FROM 8AM THU TO 8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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