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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 71
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE OCT 08 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST FRI OCT 11 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.3N 71.8W 54 X X X 54 MIAMI FL X X X 3 3
29.5N 72.2W 35 X X X 35 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 4 4
28.9N 73.0W 21 5 X 1 27 FT PIERCE FL X X X 4 4
MUGM 200N 751W X X X 3 3 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 4 4
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
MDPP 198N 707W X X X 2 2 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 4 4 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3
MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 5 6 CHARLESTON SC X X X 4 4
MYSM 241N 745W X X 2 7 9 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 4 5
MYEG 235N 758W X X 1 6 7 WILMINGTON NC X X 1 5 6
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 6 6 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 2 4 6
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 6 7 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 4 5
MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 5 6 NORFOLK VA X X X 3 3
MARATHON FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED
C FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
D FROM 2AM THU TO 2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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