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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 70
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON OCT 07 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT THU OCT 10 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.0N 71.2W 48 X X X 48 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 5 5
30.0N 71.5W 30 1 X 1 32 FT PIERCE FL X X X 5 5
29.0N 72.0W 10 12 1 1 24 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 4 4
MTPP 186N 724W X X X 2 2 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 4 4
MTCA 183N 738W X X X 2 2 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3
MUGM 200N 751W X X X 3 3 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 3 3 CHARLESTON SC X X X 4 4
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 4 5
MDPP 198N 707W X X X 2 2 WILMINGTON NC X X 1 4 5
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 5 5 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 4 5
MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 6 7 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 4 5
MYSM 241N 745W X X 2 8 10 NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2
MYEG 235N 758W X X 1 7 8 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 7 7 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 7 8 FT MYERS FL X X X 2 2
MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 6 7 VENICE FL X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2
MIAMI FL X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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