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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  63
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN OCT 06 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED OCT  9 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.0N  68.5W      99  X  X  X 99   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  3  3
34.0N  68.0W      41  X  X  X 41   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
34.0N  68.0W      41  X  X  X 41   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3
BERMUDA            X  3  4  4 11   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  3  3   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  3  4   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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