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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  61
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT OCT 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE OCT  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
35.0N  69.5W      38  X  X  X 38   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  2  3  4  9
35.5N  68.5W      20  1  1  1 23   PROVIDENCE RI      X  1  3  4  8
35.5N  67.5W      12  3  2  1 18   NANTUCKET MA       X  2  3  4  9
BERMUDA            1  3  3  3 10   HYANNIS MA         X  1  3  4  8
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  1  1  1  3   BOSTON MA          X  1  2  4  7
CAPE HATTERAS NC   1  2  2  1  6   PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  4  5
NORFOLK VA         1  1  2  1  5   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  3  4
OCEAN CITY MD      1  3  1  3  8   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  3  2  2  7   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  2  2  3  7   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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