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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 58
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI OCT 04 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST MON OCT 7 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.4N 71.7W 40 X X X 40 NORFOLK VA X 2 6 4 12
34.5N 71.7W 16 4 1 2 23 OCEAN CITY MD X 1 3 7 11
35.0N 71.5W 9 7 3 1 20 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 2 6 8
BERMUDA X X 2 4 6 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 5 6
CHARLESTON SC X X 1 2 3 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 4 4
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 2 3 6 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 3 3
WILMINGTON NC X 3 3 4 10 NANTUCKET MA X X X 3 3
MOREHEAD CITY NC 1 6 4 3 14 HYANNIS MA X X X 2 2
CAPE HATTERAS NC 1 9 3 3 16 BOSTON MA X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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