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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU OCT 03 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN OCT  6 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.5N  68.1W      60  X  X  X 60   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2
29.9N  69.2W      36  1  X  X 37   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3
30.7N  70.4W      11  9  2  1 23   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  4  4
BERMUDA            X  1  2  5  8   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  5  5
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  5  5
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  5  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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