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TROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 45
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE OCT 01 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST FRI OCT 4 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.5N 67.5W 99 X X X 99 MBJT 215N 712W X X 1 6 7
27.8N 67.7W 99 X X X 99 MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 4 5
27.2N 68.0W 26 1 1 X 28 MYSM 241N 745W X X 1 4 5
TISX 177N 648W X X X 2 2 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2
TIST 183N 650W X X X 2 2 BERMUDA X X X 3 3
TJPS 180N 666W X X X 3 3 ST CROIX VI X X X 2 2
MDSD 185N 697W X X X 3 3 ST THOMAS VI X X X 2 2
MTPP 186N 724W X X X 2 2 SAN JUAN PR X X X 3 3
TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 3 3 PONCE PR X X X 3 3
MDPP 198N 707W X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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