HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 30 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU OCT  3 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.3N  67.2W      99  X  X  X 99   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  4  4
27.0N  67.5W      99  X  X  X 99   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  6  7
27.0N  67.5W      99  X  X  X 99   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  1  4  5
TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  2  2   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  4  5
TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  3  3   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2
TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  3  3   BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  3  3   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  2  2
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  2  2   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  3  3
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  2  2   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  3  3
TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  3  3   PONCE PR           X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN