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SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.7N 51.0W 46 X X X 46 32.1N 51.9W 99 X X X 99
32.5N 51.0W 56 X X X 56
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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