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SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.7N  51.3W      34  X  X  1 35   BERMUDA            X  X  1  1  2
33.0N  51.5W      29  1  X  X 30   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
32.7N  52.2W      31  1  X  X 32
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/BROWN
 
 
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